Coquimbo Unido 3-0 San Marcos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
66%
-7.1pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.8pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+4.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.3pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coquimbo Unido EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY San Marcos EU Bookmakers 15%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.56/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/0.67
-63% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -8%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
397 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 74%
37.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
23.0 Crosses 12.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coquimbo Unido
2W-3D-0L
AWAY San Marcos
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
3.04 xG 0.32
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
196 Passes 78
84% Pass Accuracy 66%
16 Box Touches 5
12 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.01.2025 San Marcos San Marcos 2-2 HT 1-0 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido ŞİLİK
29.09.2021 San Marcos San Marcos 0-0 HT 0-0 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido ŞİLİB
24.05.2021 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 3-0 HT 0-0 San Marcos San Marcos ŞİLİB
21.10.2018 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 4-0 HT 2-0 San Marcos San Marcos ŞİLİB
02.02.2014 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 1-1 HT 0-0 San Marcos San Marcos ŞİLİB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coquimbo Unido
3-0
AWAY San Marcos
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 1
7 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Coquimbo Unido vs San Marcos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coquimbo Unido swept aside San Marcos 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Coquimbo Unido as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Coquimbo Unido had 63% of the ball to San Marcos's 37%, shots finished 20-1.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Coquimbo Unido had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Coquimbo Unido and 0.60 for San Marcos.

What was the final score of Coquimbo Unido vs San Marcos?

Coquimbo Unido 3-0 San Marcos in the Chile - Cup on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coquimbo Unido vs San Marcos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coquimbo Unido win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Coquimbo Unido 59%, draw 24%, San Marcos 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coquimbo Unido), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Coquimbo Unido) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞİLİK More Chile - Cup
11 May 2025
00:30 Deportes Temuco vs Huachipato Analysis →
03:00 Audax Italiano vs Palestino Analysis →
18:30 Union Espanola vs Concepcion Analysis →
19:00 Universidad Concepcion vs Santa Cruz Analysis →
19:30 Antofagasta vs Deportes Iquique Analysis →
22:00 La Serena vs Cobresal Analysis →