La Serena 1-1 Cobresal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Serena EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Cobresal EU Bookmakers 32%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.84
+107% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -49%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
263 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
Crosses 11.9
Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Serena
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cobresal
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.05 xG 1.40
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
259 Passes 240
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.02.2025 Cobresal Cobresal 3-1 HT 1-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
28.01.2025 Cobresal Cobresal 1-2 HT 0-1 La Serena La Serena ŞİLİK
06.08.2022 Cobresal Cobresal 1-1 HT 1-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
12.03.2022 La Serena La Serena 2-3 HT 1-1 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
10.10.2021 La Serena La Serena 2-1 HT 2-0 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
22.05.2021 Cobresal Cobresal 2-0 HT 0-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Serena
1-1
AWAY Cobresal
50% Ball Possession 50%
POST-MATCH La Serena vs Cobresal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Serena and Cobresal shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, La Serena had 50% of the ball to Cobresal's 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cobresal led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for La Serena and 1.83 for Cobresal.

What was the final score of La Serena vs Cobresal?

La Serena 1-1 Cobresal in the Chile - Cup on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Serena vs Cobresal?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Serena win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split La Serena 40%, draw 26%, Cobresal 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (La Serena) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (La Serena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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