Cobresal 3-1 La Serena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 24 Feb 2025

📅24/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
-0.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-2.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.4pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cobresal EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY La Serena EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -10%
1.70/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.39
+18% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 75%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
21.1 Crosses 14.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cobresal
2W-1D-3L
AWAY La Serena
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.63 xG 1.09
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
269 Passes 242
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.01.2025 Cobresal Cobresal 1-2 HT 0-1 La Serena La Serena ŞİLİK
06.08.2022 Cobresal Cobresal 1-1 HT 1-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
12.03.2022 La Serena La Serena 2-3 HT 1-1 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
10.10.2021 La Serena La Serena 2-1 HT 2-0 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
22.05.2021 Cobresal Cobresal 2-0 HT 0-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
18.11.2020 Cobresal Cobresal 1-2 HT 1-1 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cobresal
3-1
AWAY La Serena
0.77 xG 0.71
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
259 Passes 310
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 11
12 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cobresal vs La Serena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cobresal saw off La Serena 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cobresal as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Cobresal had 46% of the ball to La Serena's 54%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.77 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, La Serena led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cobresal and 1.50 for La Serena.

What was the final score of Cobresal vs La Serena?

Cobresal 3-1 La Serena in the Chile - Premier League on 24/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cobresal vs La Serena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cobresal win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Cobresal 49%, draw 27%, La Serena 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cobresal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cobresal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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