Universidad Chile 1-0 Union La Calera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 24 Feb 2025

📅24/02/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
67%
-7.1pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.7pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+4.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.4pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universidad Chile EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 16%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +18%
1.70/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.40
-13% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +90%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
436 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 71%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
29.3 Crosses 12.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universidad Chile
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Union La Calera
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.27 xG 1.23
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
281 Passes 273
72% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 1-0 HT 1-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
14.05.2024 Union La Calera Union La Calera 1-3 HT 1-1 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
26.08.2023 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-1 HT 1-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
03.03.2023 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 1-1 HT 1-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
03.07.2022 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 2-1 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
07.02.2022 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-4 HT 0-1 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universidad Chile
1-0
AWAY Union La Calera
1.18 xG 0.71
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
302 Passes 258
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Universidad Chile vs Union La Calera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universidad Chile nicked a narrow win over Union La Calera 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Universidad Chile as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Universidad Chile had 53% of the ball to Union La Calera's 47%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.18 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universidad Chile had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Universidad Chile and 1.17 for Union La Calera.

What was the final score of Universidad Chile vs Union La Calera?

Universidad Chile 1-0 Union La Calera in the Chile - Premier League on 24/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universidad Chile vs Union La Calera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universidad Chile win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Universidad Chile 59%, draw 23%, Union La Calera 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universidad Chile), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Universidad Chile) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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