Al Shabab Manama 1-1 Manama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.8
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.84
6+ Goals
10%
17.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 30% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shabab Manama EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Manama EU Bookmakers 31%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +2%
0.73/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.47
-51% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
209 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shabab Manama
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Manama
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.01.2025 Manama Manama 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
23.03.2024 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 0-1 HT 0-1 Manama Manama BAHK
14.02.2024 Manama Manama 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
22.09.2023 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 2-0 HT 0-0 Manama Manama BAH
22.09.2023 Manama Manama 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
15.04.2023 Manama Manama 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shabab Manama
1-1
AWAY Manama
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Al Shabab Manama vs Manama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shabab Manama and Manama couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Al Shabab Manama at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Al Shabab Manama had 56% of the ball to Manama's 44%, shots finished 9-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Al Shabab Manama and 0.67 for Manama.

What was the final score of Al Shabab Manama vs Manama?

Al Shabab Manama 1-1 Manama in the Bahrain - Premier League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shabab Manama vs Manama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shabab Manama win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab Manama 44%, draw 28%, Manama 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Shabab Manama), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Shabab Manama) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BAH More Bahrain - Premier League
11 May 2025
19:00 Bahrain SC vs Khalidiya Analysis →
19:00 Malkiya vs Sitra Analysis →