Malkiya 0-1 Sitra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.67
Draw
35%
3.11
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.64
Over 2.5
36%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.88
No
62%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
38%
2.54
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
15%
4.25
6+ Goals
7%
21.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.54 — our 38% vs market 32.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
34%
-7.5pp
35%
Draw
28%
+6.3pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+1.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
57%
+7.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
43%
-7.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
49%
-10.7pp
62%
BTTS No
51%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malkiya EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sitra EU Bookmakers 42%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.40/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/1.23
-68% / +126% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malkiya
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Sitra
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.01.2025 Sitra Sitra 0-1 HT 0-1 Malkiya Malkiya BAH
16.05.2022 Sitra Sitra 1-0 HT 1-0 Malkiya Malkiya BAH
02.09.2021 Sitra Sitra 2-5 Malkiya Malkiya BAHFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malkiya
0-1
AWAY Sitra
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Malkiya vs Sitra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sitra nicked a narrow win over Malkiya 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 26% / 35% / 39% — and on the day Sitra made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Malkiya had 45% of the ball to Sitra's 55%, shots finished 4-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Malkiya had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Malkiya and 1.00 for Sitra.

What was the final score of Malkiya vs Sitra?

Malkiya 0-1 Sitra in the Bahrain - Premier League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malkiya vs Sitra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sitra win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Malkiya 26%, draw 35%, Sitra 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sitra), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sitra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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