Jeju United 1-2 Ulsan Hyundai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.32
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
35%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.68
Over 2.5
35%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.81
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
4.37
6+ Goals
8%
21.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.81 — our 35% vs market 30.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.0
1/2
9%
27.5
1/X
9%
15.05
X/1
14%
7.43
X/2
10%
4.52
X/X
15%
4.33
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
15%
2.81
2/X
9%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.8pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.1pp
35%
Away Win
46%
-11.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.9pp
35%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeju United EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 50%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.26/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/0.57
+16% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +98%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
12.5 Crosses 21.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeju United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
324 Passes 382
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2025 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-0 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOR
26.07.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 1-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
23.06.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 2-3 HT 1-1 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
28.04.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 3-1 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
21.07.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-1 HT 2-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOR
28.06.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 1-1 HT 1-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeju United
1-2
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 12
304 Passes 374
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Jeju United vs Ulsan Hyundai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulsan Hyundai squeezed past Jeju United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 33% / 35% — and on the day Ulsan Hyundai made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jeju United had 45% of the ball to Ulsan Hyundai's 55%, shots finished 17-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ulsan Hyundai led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Jeju United and 1.83 for Ulsan Hyundai.

What was the final score of Jeju United vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Jeju United 1-2 Ulsan Hyundai in the South Kore - K League Classic on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeju United vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ulsan Hyundai win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Jeju United 32%, draw 33%, Ulsan Hyundai 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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