Gwangju 0-1 Jeonbuk Motors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.42
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
17%
5.23
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.1
1/2
8%
33.0
1/X
8%
14.5
X/1
14%
6.39
X/2
12%
4.94
X/X
13%
3.78
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
20%
3.43
2/X
7%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.0pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.6pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.4pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gwangju EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
1.06/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.06
-17% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +5%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 80%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.6 Crosses 19.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gwangju
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
438 Passes 323
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2025 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 2-2 HT 1-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
24.11.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 1-1 HT 0-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOR
09.08.2024 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 0-1 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
19.05.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 0-3 HT 0-2 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
13.04.2024 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 2-1 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
25.11.2023 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 2-0 HT 2-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gwangju
0-1
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors
67% Ball Possession 33%
22 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
514 Passes 226
89% Pass Accuracy 77%
37 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gwangju vs Jeonbuk Motors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeonbuk Motors squeezed past Gwangju 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Jeonbuk Motors found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gwangju had 67% of the ball to Jeonbuk Motors's 33%, shots finished 22-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jeonbuk Motors led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gwangju and 1.67 for Jeonbuk Motors.

What was the final score of Gwangju vs Jeonbuk Motors?

Gwangju 0-1 Jeonbuk Motors in the South Kore - K League Classic on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gwangju vs Jeonbuk Motors?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jeonbuk Motors win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gwangju 32%, draw 28%, Jeonbuk Motors 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jeonbuk Motors), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jeonbuk Motors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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