Gwangju 1-1 Jeonbuk Motors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 24 Nov 2024

Gwangju
1-1 HT 0-0
Jeonbuk Motors
📅24/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
South Kore - K League Classic – 2024

Gwangju vs Jeonbuk Motors Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.88
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
4.15
6+ Goals
8%
19.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 32% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.9
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
7%
13.75
X/1 EV+ ✗
22%
5.46
X/2
14%
5.4
X/X
10%
4.29
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
12%
3.85
2/X
9%
13.75
Value flag · X/1 at 5.46 — our 22% vs market 14.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.6pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gwangju v Jeonbuk Motors — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gwangju EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors EU Bookmakers 39%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.41/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.40
+15% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +70% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
12.3 Crosses 15.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6

Gwangju vs Jeonbuk Motors Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gwangju
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
476 Passes 266
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.08.2024 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 0-1 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
19.05.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 0-3 HT 0-2 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
13.04.2024 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 2-1 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
25.11.2023 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 2-0 HT 2-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
24.09.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 0-1 HT 0-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
28.06.2023 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 4-0 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK

Gwangju 1-1 Jeonbuk Motors — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gwangju
1-1
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
410 Passes 294
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gwangju vs Jeonbuk Motors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gwangju and Jeonbuk Motors couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Gwangju at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Gwangju had 57% of the ball to Jeonbuk Motors's 43%, shots finished 12-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jeonbuk Motors led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Gwangju and 2.00 for Jeonbuk Motors.

What was the final score of Gwangju vs Jeonbuk Motors?

Gwangju 1-1 Jeonbuk Motors in the South Kore - K League Classic on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gwangju vs Jeonbuk Motors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gwangju win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gwangju 41%, draw 27%, Jeonbuk Motors 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gwangju), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gwangju) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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