Daejeon Citizen 2-1 Jeju United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.31
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.63
6+ Goals
10%
14.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.19
1/2
9%
33.0
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
11%
4.99
X/2
12%
6.4
X/X
14%
4.6
2/1
9%
27.0
2/2
14%
4.55
2/X
7%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.8pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeju United EU Bookmakers 34%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.39/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/2.16
-5% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -40%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
360 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
8.0 Crosses 11.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daejeon Citizen
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Jeju United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
338 Passes 345
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 2-1 HT 1-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
19.06.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
29.05.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-1 HT 0-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
10.03.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 3-1 HT 2-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
25.11.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 0-2 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
08.10.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-0 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daejeon Citizen
2-1
AWAY Jeju United
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
253 Passes 360
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Daejeon Citizen vs Jeju United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Citizen nicked a narrow win over Jeju United 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Daejeon Citizen made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Daejeon Citizen had 43% of the ball to Jeju United's 57%, shots finished 17-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jeju United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Daejeon Citizen and 1.00 for Jeju United.

What was the final score of Daejeon Citizen vs Jeju United?

Daejeon Citizen 2-1 Jeju United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daejeon Citizen vs Jeju United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daejeon Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Daejeon Citizen 37%, draw 28%, Jeju United 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Daejeon Citizen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Daejeon Citizen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOR More South Kore - K League Classic
24 Nov 2024
08:00 Gwangju vs Jeonbuk Motors Analysis →
08:00 Daegu vs Incheon United Analysis →