Daegu 1-3 Incheon United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.78
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
4.29
6+ Goals
9%
21.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.09
1/2
9%
31.0
1/X
5%
14.0
X/1
13%
5.58
X/2
8%
5.21
X/X
15%
4.24
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
17%
3.72
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
+4.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-3.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.1pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daegu EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Incheon United EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.29/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.66
+6% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.0 Crosses 22.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daegu
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Incheon United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
311 Passes 454
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Daegu Daegu 1-2 HT 1-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR
09.07.2024 Daegu Daegu 0-0 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR
14.04.2024 Incheon United Incheon United 1-1 HT 1-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
03.12.2023 Daegu Daegu 2-1 HT 1-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
13.08.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 3-1 HT 3-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
27.05.2023 Daegu Daegu 2-2 HT 0-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daegu
1-3
AWAY Incheon United
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 19
9 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 5
335 Passes 464
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Daegu vs Incheon United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Incheon United got the better of Daegu 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Incheon United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Daegu had 44% of the ball to Incheon United's 56%, shots finished 17-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Incheon United led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Daegu and 1.50 for Incheon United.

What was the final score of Daegu vs Incheon United?

Daegu 1-3 Incheon United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daegu vs Incheon United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daegu win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Daegu 40%, draw 27%, Incheon United 33%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Daegu), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Daegu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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