Daegu 1-2 Incheon United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.82
Over 2.5
40%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.73
No
59%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.18
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.69
6+ Goals
9%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 33% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.37
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
15%
5.04
X/2
13%
5.87
X/X
14%
4.58
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
14%
4.16
2/X
7%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
51%
+8.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
49%
-8.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
54%
-12.4pp
59%
BTTS No
46%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daegu EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Incheon United EU Bookmakers 37%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
0.37/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.96
-76% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -39%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
363 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 24.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daegu
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Incheon United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
297 Passes 501
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.07.2024 Daegu Daegu 0-0 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR
14.04.2024 Incheon United Incheon United 1-1 HT 1-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
03.12.2023 Daegu Daegu 2-1 HT 1-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
13.08.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 3-1 HT 3-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
27.05.2023 Daegu Daegu 2-2 HT 0-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
01.04.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 0-0 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daegu
1-2
AWAY Incheon United
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 7
228 Passes 410
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Daegu vs Incheon United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Incheon United nicked a narrow win over Daegu 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Incheon United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Daegu had 39% of the ball to Incheon United's 61%, shots finished 14-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Daegu and 1.17 for Incheon United.

What was the final score of Daegu vs Incheon United?

Daegu 1-2 Incheon United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daegu vs Incheon United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daegu win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Daegu 38%, draw 27%, Incheon United 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Daegu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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31 Aug 2024
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