Ulsan Hyundai 5-4 Pohang Steelers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.18
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.69
6+ Goals
12%
15.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.69 — our 26% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.91
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.35
X/1
13%
4.61
X/2
16%
6.82
X/X
11%
4.54
2/1
9%
26.0
2/2
9%
5.02
2/X
6%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 32%
-18% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.75/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.42
-56% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses 22.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Pohang Steelers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
402 Passes 427
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.06.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 2-1 HT 2-1 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
01.03.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 1-0 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
12.11.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 3-2 HT 0-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
30.09.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 0-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
08.07.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 0-1 HT 0-1 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
22.04.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-2 HT 0-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
5-4
AWAY Pohang Steelers
53% Ball Possession 47%
21 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
328 Passes 273
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ulsan Hyundai vs Pohang Steelers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulsan Hyundai nicked a narrow win over Pohang Steelers 5-4. Half-time: 2-1. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ulsan Hyundai as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 5-4 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Ulsan Hyundai had 53% of the ball to Pohang Steelers's 47%, shots finished 21-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ulsan Hyundai had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ulsan Hyundai and 1.00 for Pohang Steelers.

What was the final score of Ulsan Hyundai vs Pohang Steelers?

Ulsan Hyundai 5-4 Pohang Steelers in the South Kore - K League Classic on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulsan Hyundai vs Pohang Steelers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulsan Hyundai win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ulsan Hyundai 42%, draw 26%, Pohang Steelers 32%. The final score 5-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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