Jeju United 2-1 Daejeon Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.94
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.97
6+ Goals
8%
18.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 31% vs market 28.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.65
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
5%
13.05
X/1
12%
5.31
X/2
17%
5.69
X/X
10%
4.21
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
10%
4.03
2/X
10%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+4.4pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.6pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.4pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeju United EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 37%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-37% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.0 Crosses
0.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeju United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
365 Passes 329
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.06.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
29.05.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-1 HT 0-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
10.03.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 3-1 HT 2-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
25.11.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 0-2 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
08.10.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-0 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
24.06.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 1-1 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeju United
2-1
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
49% Ball Possession 51%
27 Total Shots 2
9 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
316 Passes 329
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jeju United vs Daejeon Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeju United squeezed past Daejeon Citizen 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Jeju United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jeju United had 49% of the ball to Daejeon Citizen's 51%, shots finished 27-2.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Jeju United and 0.83 for Daejeon Citizen.

What was the final score of Jeju United vs Daejeon Citizen?

Jeju United 2-1 Daejeon Citizen in the South Kore - K League Classic on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeju United vs Daejeon Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jeju United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Jeju United 42%, draw 25%, Daejeon Citizen 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jeju United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jeju United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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