Incheon United 1-3 Gangwon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.22
6+ Goals
8%
20.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.27
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
11%
5.81
X/2
17%
5.08
X/X
13%
4.11
2/1
12%
34.0
2/2
11%
3.53
2/X
8%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-3.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.9pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Incheon United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Gangwon EU Bookmakers 42%
-21% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
2.70/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/2.43
-35% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -35%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
22.7 Crosses 20.9
0.1 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Incheon United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gangwon
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.66 xG 0.73
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
380 Passes 380
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.06.2024 Incheon United Incheon United 0-1 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
21.04.2024 Gangwon Gangwon 4-1 HT 3-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
24.09.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 1-1 HT 1-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
02.07.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 1-0 HT 1-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOR
16.04.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 0-2 HT 0-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
08.10.2022 Gangwon Gangwon 0-0 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Incheon United
1-3
AWAY Gangwon
42% Ball Possession 58%
3 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 5
305 Passes 474
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Incheon United vs Gangwon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gangwon saw off Incheon United 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Gangwon found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Incheon United had 42% of the ball to Gangwon's 58%, shots finished 3-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Incheon United and 1.00 for Gangwon.

What was the final score of Incheon United vs Gangwon?

Incheon United 1-3 Gangwon in the South Kore - K League Classic on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Incheon United vs Gangwon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Incheon United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Incheon United 37%, draw 28%, Gangwon 34%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Incheon United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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