Daegu 4-3 Jeonbuk Motors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.58
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
3.35
6+ Goals
9%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 29% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.05
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
5%
12.8
X/1
11%
6.04
X/2
13%
5.28
X/X
16%
4.72
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
17%
3.34
2/X
8%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.5pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-4.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.0pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daegu EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors EU Bookmakers 43%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
0.88/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.03
-25% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.7 Crosses 12.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daegu
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
243 Passes 440
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.06.2024 Daegu Daegu 3-0 HT 1-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
28.04.2024 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 2-2 HT 1-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
21.10.2023 Daegu Daegu 1-2 HT 1-1 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
30.09.2023 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 1-3 HT 1-2 Daegu Daegu GKOK
07.06.2023 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 1-0 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
19.03.2023 Daegu Daegu 2-0 HT 1-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daegu
4-3
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 20
7 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 8
300 Passes 525
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
5 Crosses 25
POST-MATCH Daegu vs Jeonbuk Motors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daegu squeezed past Jeonbuk Motors 4-3. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Daegu found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Daegu had 38% of the ball to Jeonbuk Motors's 62%, shots finished 12-20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Daegu had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Daegu and 1.00 for Jeonbuk Motors.

What was the final score of Daegu vs Jeonbuk Motors?

Daegu 4-3 Jeonbuk Motors in the South Kore - K League Classic on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daegu vs Jeonbuk Motors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daegu win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Daegu 35%, draw 30%, Jeonbuk Motors 35%. The final score 4-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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