Sham Shui Po vs Tuen Mun SA Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sham Shui Po v Tuen Mun SA — Team-Based Signals
Sham Shui Po 2-1 Tuen Mun SA — Actual Match Statistics
Sham Shui Po nicked a narrow win over Tuen Mun SA 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Sham Shui Po as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Sham Shui Po had 50% of the ball to Tuen Mun SA's 50%, shots finished 16-9.
What was the final score of Sham Shui Po vs Tuen Mun SA?
Sham Shui Po 2-1 Tuen Mun SA in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sham Shui Po vs Tuen Mun SA?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sham Shui Po win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sham Shui Po 54%, draw 18%, Tuen Mun SA 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sham Shui Po), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.