Eastern District 3-1 Shatin SA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.23
Over 2.5
66%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.41
No
37%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.0pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+2.6pp
34%
Under 2.5
41%
-7.1pp
66%
Over 2.5
59%
+7.1pp
63%
BTTS Yes
67%
-3.3pp
37%
BTTS No
33%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastern District EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Shatin SA EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.30/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.35/2.06
-12% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
299 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastern District
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Shatin SA
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.12.2024 Shatin SA Shatin SA 0-1 Eastern District Eastern District HK2
14.01.2024 Eastern District Eastern District 0-3 HT 0-0 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
29.10.2023 Shatin SA Shatin SA 3-4 HT 1-1 Eastern District Eastern District HK2
12.03.2023 Eastern District Eastern District 4-2 HT 3-2 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
20.11.2022 Shatin SA Shatin SA 3-0 HT 2-0 Eastern District Eastern District HK2
21.11.2021 Shatin SA Shatin SA 2-2 HT 2-0 Eastern District Eastern District HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastern District
3-1
AWAY Shatin SA
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Eastern District vs Shatin SA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastern District got the better of Shatin SA 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Shatin SA at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Eastern District had 46% of the ball to Shatin SA's 54%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eastern District had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Eastern District and 2.17 for Shatin SA.

What was the final score of Eastern District vs Shatin SA?

Eastern District 3-1 Shatin SA in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastern District vs Shatin SA?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shatin SA win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Eastern District 34%, draw 24%, Shatin SA 42%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shatin SA) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shatin SA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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