Karpaty Lviv 2-1 Oleksandria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
32%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.52
Over 2.5
34%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.06
No
62%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.5pp
34%
Draw
29%
+4.9pp
32%
Away Win
41%
-8.4pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.6pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.4pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karpaty Lviv EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Oleksandria EU Bookmakers 45%
-15% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +3%
0.90/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.17
-11% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
256 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karpaty Lviv
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Oleksandria
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
09.11.2024 Oleksandria Oleksandria 3-0 HT 1-0 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv UKR
04.03.2020 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 0-4 HT 0-1 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
06.10.2019 Oleksandria Oleksandria 2-1 HT 0-0 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv UKR
21.10.2018 Oleksandria Oleksandria 2-1 HT 2-0 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv UKR
22.07.2018 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 0-2 HT 0-0 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
28.04.2018 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 1-2 HT 1-1 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
POST-MATCH Karpaty Lviv vs Oleksandria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karpaty Lviv edged past Oleksandria 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 34% / 32% — and on the day Karpaty Lviv made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oleksandria led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Karpaty Lviv and 2.50 for Oleksandria.

What was the final score of Karpaty Lviv vs Oleksandria?

Karpaty Lviv 2-1 Oleksandria in the Ukraine - Premier League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karpaty Lviv vs Oleksandria?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Karpaty Lviv 33%, draw 34%, Oleksandria 32%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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