Kryvbas KR 0-1 Kolos Kovalivka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.6pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.7pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kryvbas KR EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolos Kovalivka EU Bookmakers 30%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.04/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.03
-19% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kryvbas KR
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Kolos Kovalivka
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
4 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.11.2024 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 1-1 HT 0-0 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
16.03.2024 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 1-0 HT 0-0 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
03.09.2023 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 0-3 HT 0-1 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
03.03.2023 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 1-0 HT 0-0 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
23.08.2022 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 1-0 HT 1-0 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kryvbas KR
0-1
AWAY Kolos Kovalivka
4 Total Shots 5
0 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kryvbas KR vs Kolos Kovalivka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolos Kovalivka nicked a narrow win over Kryvbas KR 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Kryvbas KR at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 4-5.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kryvbas KR had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Kryvbas KR and 0.40 for Kolos Kovalivka.

What was the final score of Kryvbas KR vs Kolos Kovalivka?

Kryvbas KR 0-1 Kolos Kovalivka in the Ukraine - Premier League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kryvbas KR vs Kolos Kovalivka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kryvbas KR win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kryvbas KR 43%, draw 27%, Kolos Kovalivka 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kryvbas KR) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kryvbas KR) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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11 May 2025
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