UCV 2-2 Portuguesa FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.64
Over 2.5
36%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.5pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.4pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
57%
+7.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
43%
-7.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.2pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCV EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 28%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.18/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.04
-9% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
326 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 76%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
19.3 Crosses 13.4
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UCV
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Portuguesa FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.12 xG 0.76
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
280 Passes 247
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 9
27 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2025 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 0-1 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
22.09.2024 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-1 HT 1-0 UCV UCV VEN
23.03.2024 UCV UCV 1-0 HT 0-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
28.07.2023 UCV UCV 0-1 HT 0-1 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
17.04.2023 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 2-0 HT 1-0 UCV UCV VEN
21.08.2022 UCV UCV 2-0 HT 0-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCV
2-2
AWAY Portuguesa FC
1.97 xG 1.45
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
338 Passes 304
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 10
28 Crosses 10
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH UCV vs Portuguesa FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCV and Portuguesa FC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was UCV at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, UCV had 53% of the ball to Portuguesa FC's 47%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 1.97 to 1.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, UCV had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for UCV and 0.67 for Portuguesa FC.

What was the final score of UCV vs Portuguesa FC?

UCV 2-2 Portuguesa FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCV vs Portuguesa FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a UCV win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split UCV 41%, draw 32%, Portuguesa FC 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (UCV) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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