Portuguesa FC 1-1 UCV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+2.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.8pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.9pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY UCV EU Bookmakers 46%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.11/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.58
-14% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
285 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 79%
14.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
23.7 Crosses 16.0
3.2 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portuguesa FC
2W-1D-2L
AWAY UCV
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
0.65 xG 0.54
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
279 Passes 307
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
5 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.03.2024 UCV UCV 1-0 HT 0-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
28.07.2023 UCV UCV 0-1 HT 0-1 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
17.04.2023 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 2-0 HT 1-0 UCV UCV VEN
21.08.2022 UCV UCV 2-0 HT 0-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
04.04.2022 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 0-0 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portuguesa FC
1-1
AWAY UCV
0.77 xG 2.66
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 25
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
141 Passes 277
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 33
8 Crosses 44
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Portuguesa FC vs UCV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portuguesa FC and UCV couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Portuguesa FC had 38% of the ball to UCV's 62%, shots finished 5-25, expected goals 0.77 to 2.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Portuguesa FC and 0.60 for UCV.

What was the final score of Portuguesa FC vs UCV?

Portuguesa FC 1-1 UCV in the Venezuela - Premier League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portuguesa FC vs UCV?

Before kick-off our model rated an UCV win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Portuguesa FC 32%, draw 30%, UCV 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (UCV) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UCV) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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