Deportivo Tachira 4-1 Hermanos Colmenarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒00:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.32
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.53
No
60%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
71%
-8.9pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.2pp
14%
Away Win
10%
+4.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
36%
+4.1pp
60%
BTTS No
64%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Tachira EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Hermanos Colmenarez EU Bookmakers 12%
+5% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +0%
1.52/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.71
+2% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +33%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
404 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 75%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.8
17.9 Crosses 10.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Tachira
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hermanos Colmenarez
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.68 xG 0.34
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
522 Passes 170
88% Pass Accuracy 66%
22 Box Touches 10
27 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.03.2024 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
30.09.2023 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 1-0 HT 0-0 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
11.02.2023 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 3-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
10.09.2022 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 0-1 HT 0-1 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
14.03.2022 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 1-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
09.09.2021 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Tachira
4-1
AWAY Hermanos Colmenarez
1.75 xG 0.31
59% Ball Possession 41%
22 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
15 Corners 1
304 Passes 211
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 3
32 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Tachira vs Hermanos Colmenarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Tachira cruised past Hermanos Colmenarez 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Deportivo Tachira as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Tachira had 59% of the ball to Hermanos Colmenarez's 41%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 1.75 to 0.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Tachira and 1.17 for Hermanos Colmenarez.

What was the final score of Deportivo Tachira vs Hermanos Colmenarez?

Deportivo Tachira 4-1 Hermanos Colmenarez in the Venezuela - Premier League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Tachira vs Hermanos Colmenarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Tachira win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Tachira 62%, draw 23%, Hermanos Colmenarez 14%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Tachira) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Tachira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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