Estudiantes De Merida 0-0 Carabobo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 22 Sep 2024

Estudiantes De Merida
0-0 HT 0-0
Carabobo
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Venezuela - Premier League – 2024

Estudiantes De Merida vs Carabobo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.85
No
45%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.6pp
45%
BTTS No
50%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Estudiantes De Merida v Carabobo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Carabobo EU Bookmakers 34%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -2%
1.66/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.98
+40% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
20.1 Crosses 17.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8

Estudiantes De Merida vs Carabobo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Carabobo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.57 xG 1.45
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
250 Passes 335
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.03.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 1-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
22.06.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-1 HT 0-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
21.05.2023 Carabobo Carabobo 2-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
09.09.2022 Carabobo Carabobo 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
11.03.2022 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 0-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
26.11.2020 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 3-2 HT 3-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN

Estudiantes De Merida 0-0 Carabobo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
0-0
AWAY Carabobo
1.20 xG 0.15
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
304 Passes 173
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
27 Box Touches 7
20 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Estudiantes De Merida vs Carabobo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes De Merida and Carabobo fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Estudiantes De Merida at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Estudiantes De Merida had 61% of the ball to Carabobo's 39%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.20 to 0.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carabobo led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Estudiantes De Merida and 1.00 for Carabobo.

What was the final score of Estudiantes De Merida vs Carabobo?

Estudiantes De Merida 0-0 Carabobo in the Venezuela - Premier League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes De Merida vs Carabobo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes De Merida win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes De Merida 41%, draw 28%, Carabobo 31%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Estudiantes De Merida), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estudiantes De Merida) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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