Madrid CFF (K) 2-0 Sevilla (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 11 May 2026

📅11/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.19
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
42%
-8.3pp
33%
Draw
25%
+7.9pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.0pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madrid CFF (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +8%
1.34/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.04
+6% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
15.6 Crosses 13.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Madrid CFF (K)
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Sevilla (K)
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.67 xG 1.40
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
303 Passes 241
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2025 Sevilla (K) Sevilla (K) 1-3 HT 0-1 Madrid CFF (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
12.04.2025 Sevilla (K) Sevilla (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 Madrid CFF (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
09.11.2024 Madrid CFF (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 Sevilla (K) Sevilla (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
03.02.2024 Madrid CFF (K) 3-3 HT 2-0 Sevilla (K) Sevilla (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Madrid CFF (K)
2-0
AWAY Sevilla (K)
0.71 xG 1.84
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
173 Passes 216
62% Pass Accuracy 65%
10 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Madrid CFF (K) vs Sevilla (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Madrid CFF (K) got the better of Sevilla (K) 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Madrid CFF (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Madrid CFF (K) had 45% of the ball to Sevilla (K)'s 55%, shots finished 6-19, expected goals 0.71 to 1.84 — on chances, Sevilla (K) could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Madrid CFF (K) had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Madrid CFF (K) and 1.75 for Sevilla (K).

What was the final score of Madrid CFF (K) vs Sevilla (K)?

Madrid CFF (K) 2-0 Sevilla (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 11/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madrid CFF (K) vs Sevilla (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Madrid CFF (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Madrid CFF (K) 33%, draw 33%, Sevilla (K) 33%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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