RB Leipzig (K) 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 11 May 2026

📅11/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
4.71
Draw
17%
4.19
Away
71%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
3%
X/2
31%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
12%
Home Win
18%
-5.8pp
18%
Draw
20%
-2.7pp
71%
Away Win
62%
+8.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.8pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RB Leipzig (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K) EU Bookmakers 67%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.67/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.73/0.81
+34% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +19%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
230 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 81%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.2
15.4 Crosses 24.4
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RB Leipzig (K)
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.76 xG 1.52
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
402 Passes 293
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
11 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
06.12.2025 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) 3-2 HT 3-0 RB Leipzig (K) RB Leipzig (K) ALKB
17.11.2024 RB Leipzig (K) RB Leipzig (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) ALKB
19.04.2024 RB Leipzig (K) RB Leipzig (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) ALKB
19.11.2023 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 RB Leipzig (K) RB Leipzig (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RB Leipzig (K)
1-3
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K)
1.92 xG 1.71
45% Ball Possession 55%
21 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
352 Passes 417
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 31
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH RB Leipzig (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayer Leverkusen (K) saw off RB Leipzig (K) 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bayer Leverkusen (K) as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, RB Leipzig (K) had 45% of the ball to Bayer Leverkusen (K)'s 55%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 1.92 to 1.71.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for RB Leipzig (K) and 1.25 for Bayer Leverkusen (K).

What was the final score of RB Leipzig (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)?

RB Leipzig (K) 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 11/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RB Leipzig (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayer Leverkusen (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split RB Leipzig (K) 12%, draw 18%, Bayer Leverkusen (K) 71%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →