Al Nasr 2-1 Al Ittihad Kalba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 11 May 2026

📅11/05/2026 · 🕒17:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
19%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.96
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
2.86
6+ Goals
12%
8.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
53%
+6.5pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.3pp
19%
Away Win
23%
-4.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.1pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nasr EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba EU Bookmakers 26%
-9% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -3%
1.76/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.74
-11% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
386 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 79%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
22.3 Crosses 15.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nasr
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.80 xG 1.05
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
340 Passes 280
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.08.2025 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
10.01.2025 Al Nasr Al Nasr 3-2 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
26.04.2024 Al Nasr Al Nasr 2-2 HT 1-2 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
26.11.2023 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
02.04.2023 Al Nasr Al Nasr 3-0 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
29.10.2022 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 5-3 HT 1-3 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
POST-MATCH Al Nasr vs Al Ittihad Kalba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nasr edged past Al Ittihad Kalba 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Nasr as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nasr had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Nasr and 1.50 for Al Ittihad Kalba.

What was the final score of Al Nasr vs Al Ittihad Kalba?

Al Nasr 2-1 Al Ittihad Kalba in the UAE - League on 11/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nasr vs Al Ittihad Kalba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nasr win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Al Nasr 60%, draw 21%, Al Ittihad Kalba 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nasr), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Nasr) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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