Neom SC 2-1 Al Shabab Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 11 May 2026

📅11/05/2026 · 🕒19:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.49
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
2.68
6+ Goals
13%
7.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.2pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neom SC EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh EU Bookmakers 34%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -15%
1.54/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.56
-32% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
368 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 83%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
14.1 Crosses 16.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neom SC
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.86 xG 2.41
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 2
422 Passes 299
90% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.01.2026 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 3-2 HT 1-1 Neom SC Neom SC SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neom SC
2-1
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh
2.18 xG 1.26
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
304 Passes 439
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
25 Box Touches 42
11 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Neom SC vs Al Shabab Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neom SC nicked a narrow win over Al Shabab Riyadh 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Neom SC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Neom SC had 42% of the ball to Al Shabab Riyadh's 58%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 2.18 to 1.26.

What was the final score of Neom SC vs Al Shabab Riyadh?

Neom SC 2-1 Al Shabab Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 11/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neom SC vs Al Shabab Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neom SC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Neom SC 41%, draw 24%, Al Shabab Riyadh 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neom SC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Neom SC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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