Al Taawon 1-2 Al Ahli Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 11 May 2026

📅11/05/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
11.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 30% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+4.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.9pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Taawon EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 49%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -18%
1.58/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.37
-47% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -23%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
277 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
21.3 Crosses 22.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Taawon
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.11 xG 2.16
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
348 Passes 340
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.01.2026 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
07.05.2025 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
07.12.2024 Al Taawon Al Taawon 2-4 HT 2-1 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
09.03.2024 Al Taawon Al Taawon 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
16.09.2023 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 3-2 HT 2-1 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
05.02.2022 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Taawon
1-2
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah
1.11 xG 0.97
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
384 Passes 303
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
27 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Taawon vs Al Ahli Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Jeddah nicked a narrow win over Al Taawon 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ahli Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Al Taawon had 56% of the ball to Al Ahli Jeddah's 44%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.11 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli Jeddah led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Taawon and 2.17 for Al Ahli Jeddah.

What was the final score of Al Taawon vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

Al Taawon 1-2 Al Ahli Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 11/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Taawon vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Taawon 33%, draw 24%, Al Ahli Jeddah 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) ✗ Under 2.5
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