MC Oran 3-2 El Bayadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 11 Jun 2025

📅11/06/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
16%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.48
Over 2.5
31%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
28%
2.67
No
72%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
43%
2.06
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals
14%
5.65
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.06 — our 43% vs market 40.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
60%
-7.0pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.6pp
16%
Away Win
14%
+1.5pp
69%
Under 2.5
64%
+4.6pp
31%
Over 2.5
36%
-4.6pp
28%
BTTS Yes
33%
-5.0pp
72%
BTTS No
67%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MC Oran EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY El Bayadh EU Bookmakers 17%
-1% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.26/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.37/1.02
-16% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +32%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
300 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MC Oran
2W-2D-1L
AWAY El Bayadh
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.12.2024 El Bayadh El Bayadh 1-0 HT 1-0 MC Oran MC Oran CZYR
11.06.2024 MC Oran MC Oran 2-0 HT 1-0 El Bayadh El Bayadh CZYR
19.01.2024 El Bayadh El Bayadh 0-1 HT 0-0 MC Oran MC Oran CZYR
01.07.2023 MC Oran MC Oran 1-1 HT 0-0 El Bayadh El Bayadh CZYR
12.11.2022 El Bayadh El Bayadh 1-1 HT 1-0 MC Oran MC Oran CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MC Oran
3-2
AWAY El Bayadh
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 7
12 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH MC Oran vs El Bayadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MC Oran edged past El Bayadh 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had MC Oran as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (72%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, MC Oran had 64% of the ball to El Bayadh's 36%, shots finished 19-7.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, MC Oran had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for MC Oran and 0.60 for El Bayadh.

What was the final score of MC Oran vs El Bayadh?

MC Oran 3-2 El Bayadh in the Algeria - 1st Division on 11/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MC Oran vs El Bayadh?

Before kick-off our model rated a MC Oran win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split MC Oran 53%, draw 31%, El Bayadh 16%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MC Oran) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (MC Oran) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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