USM Khenchela 1-0 USM Alger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 11 Jun 2025

📅11/06/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.45
Over 2.5
32%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.29
No
64%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.98
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
14%
6.04
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-5.9pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.8pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.2pp
68%
Under 2.5
65%
+2.2pp
32%
Over 2.5
35%
-2.2pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.5pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Alger EU Bookmakers 26%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -34%
1.40/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.23
+9% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
445 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Khenchela
1W-0D-4L
AWAY USM Alger
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
4 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
05.02.2025 USM Alger USM Alger 3-0 HT 1-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
16.02.2024 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 1-0 HT 1-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
14.10.2023 USM Alger USM Alger 3-0 HT 0-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
13.04.2023 USM Alger USM Alger 2-0 HT 2-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
02.09.2022 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 0-1 HT 0-1 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
POST-MATCH USM Khenchela vs USM Alger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Khenchela nicked a narrow win over USM Alger 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had USM Khenchela as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, USM Alger led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for USM Khenchela and 1.80 for USM Alger.

What was the final score of USM Khenchela vs USM Alger?

USM Khenchela 1-0 USM Alger in the Algeria - 1st Division on 11/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Khenchela vs USM Alger?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Khenchela win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split USM Khenchela 42%, draw 31%, USM Alger 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Khenchela), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (USM Khenchela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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