Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-1 Saga LIXIL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - İmparatorluk Cup, 11 Jun 2025

📅11/06/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.11
Draw
25%
8.78
Away
11%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
No
39%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
27%
X/2
3%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
85%
-21.2pp
25%
Draw
8%
+16.3pp
11%
Away Win
6%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Saga LIXIL EU Bookmakers 9%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.62/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+9% / +107% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +16%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
471 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3-1
AWAY Saga LIXIL
74% Ball Possession 26%
26 Total Shots 5
12 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Saga LIXIL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima saw off Saga LIXIL 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 74% of the ball to Saga LIXIL's 26%, shots finished 26-5.

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Saga LIXIL?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-1 Saga LIXIL in the Japan - İmparatorluk Cup on 11/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Saga LIXIL?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima 64%, draw 25%, Saga LIXIL 11%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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