Tokushima Vortis 2-1 Renofa Yamaguchi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - İmparatorluk Cup, 11 Jun 2025

📅11/06/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.09
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.54
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+3.7pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.6pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.1pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokushima Vortis EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 32%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
0.92/0.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.15/1.46
-46% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -88% / +15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokushima Vortis
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
367 Passes 370
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.05.2025 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 2-0 HT 2-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
07.09.2024 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1-2 HT 0-1 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
20.03.2024 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 1-2 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
20.08.2023 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 2-0 HT 2-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
13.05.2023 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 2-2 HT 0-2 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
27.08.2022 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 2-1 HT 1-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokushima Vortis
2-1
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tokushima Vortis vs Renofa Yamaguchi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokushima Vortis squeezed past Renofa Yamaguchi 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tokushima Vortis as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tokushima Vortis had 49% of the ball to Renofa Yamaguchi's 51%, shots finished 18-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tokushima Vortis had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Tokushima Vortis and 1.00 for Renofa Yamaguchi.

What was the final score of Tokushima Vortis vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Tokushima Vortis 2-1 Renofa Yamaguchi in the Japan - İmparatorluk Cup on 11/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokushima Vortis vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokushima Vortis win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Tokushima Vortis 43%, draw 27%, Renofa Yamaguchi 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokushima Vortis) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tokushima Vortis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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