Renofa Yamaguchi 1-2 Tokushima Vortis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.24
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
5.53
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.3pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.9pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokushima Vortis EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
1.23/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.06
-6% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
262 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Tokushima Vortis
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
394 Passes 422
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.03.2024 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 1-2 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
20.08.2023 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 2-0 HT 2-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
13.05.2023 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 2-2 HT 0-2 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
27.08.2022 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 2-1 HT 1-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
30.03.2022 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 0-0 HT 0-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
21.10.2020 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 0-3 HT 0-2 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
1-2
AWAY Tokushima Vortis
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
355 Passes 254
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
33 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Renofa Yamaguchi vs Tokushima Vortis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokushima Vortis nicked a narrow win over Renofa Yamaguchi 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; Tokushima Vortis found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Renofa Yamaguchi had 58% of the ball to Tokushima Vortis's 42%, shots finished 20-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tokushima Vortis led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Renofa Yamaguchi and 1.67 for Tokushima Vortis.

What was the final score of Renofa Yamaguchi vs Tokushima Vortis?

Renofa Yamaguchi 1-2 Tokushima Vortis in the Japan - J2 League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Tokushima Vortis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Renofa Yamaguchi win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Renofa Yamaguchi 37%, draw 31%, Tokushima Vortis 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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