Fujieda MYFC 1-0 Tochigi SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.97
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.94
6+ Goals
10%
17.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 30% vs market 27.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-2.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.6pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fujieda MYFC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 42%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.46/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/0.53
+22% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +102%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
391 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fujieda MYFC
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Tochigi SC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.06.2024 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 2-0 HT 2-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JPK
06.05.2024 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 0-1 HT 0-0 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP2
03.09.2023 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 2-0 HT 2-0 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP2
03.06.2023 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 1-1 HT 0-1 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fujieda MYFC
1-0
AWAY Tochigi SC
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
401 Passes 237
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Crosses 15
POST-MATCH Fujieda MYFC vs Tochigi SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fujieda MYFC nicked a narrow win over Tochigi SC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Fujieda MYFC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Fujieda MYFC had 62% of the ball to Tochigi SC's 38%, shots finished 13-14.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Fujieda MYFC had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fujieda MYFC and 0.75 for Tochigi SC.

What was the final score of Fujieda MYFC vs Tochigi SC?

Fujieda MYFC 1-0 Tochigi SC in the Japan - J2 League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fujieda MYFC vs Tochigi SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fujieda MYFC win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Fujieda MYFC 36%, draw 28%, Tochigi SC 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fujieda MYFC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fujieda MYFC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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