Shimizu S-Pulse vs V-Varen Nagasaki Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Shimizu S-Pulse v V-Varen Nagasaki — Team-Based Signals
Shimizu S-Pulse vs V-Varen Nagasaki Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
3-2
HT 2-0
V-Varen Nagasaki
JAP2
1-1
HT 1-0
Shimizu S-Pulse
JAP2
4-4
HT 2-1
Shimizu S-Pulse
JAP
0-1
HT 0-1
V-Varen Nagasaki
JAP
Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 V-Varen Nagasaki — Actual Match Statistics
Shimizu S-Pulse and V-Varen Nagasaki couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Shimizu S-Pulse at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Shimizu S-Pulse had 52% of the ball to V-Varen Nagasaki's 48%, shots finished 24-10.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, V-Varen Nagasaki led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Shimizu S-Pulse and 2.40 for V-Varen Nagasaki.
What was the final score of Shimizu S-Pulse vs V-Varen Nagasaki?
Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 V-Varen Nagasaki in the Japan - J2 League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Shimizu S-Pulse vs V-Varen Nagasaki?
Before kick-off our model rated a Shimizu S-Pulse win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Shimizu S-Pulse 52%, draw 22%, V-Varen Nagasaki 26%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.