Oita Trinita 0-3 Montedio Yamagata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.9
Over 2.5
42%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.37
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.52
6+ Goals
9%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 31% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
-0.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.1pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oita Trinita EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 48%
-2% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
0.91/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.04
-19% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
375 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.0 Crosses 25.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oita Trinita
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
418 Passes 433
2 Yellow Cards 0
09.06.2024 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 0-0 HT 0-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
29.07.2023 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 0-1 HT 0-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
17.05.2023 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 5-0 HT 2-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
16.10.2022 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 0-3 HT 0-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
08.05.2022 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 1-1 HT 0-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
03.08.2014 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 2-0 HT 0-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oita Trinita
0-3
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
39% Ball Possession 61%
16 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 1
216 Passes 420
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Oita Trinita vs Montedio Yamagata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montedio Yamagata ran out comfortable winners over Oita Trinita 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Montedio Yamagata as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Oita Trinita had 39% of the ball to Montedio Yamagata's 61%, shots finished 16-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montedio Yamagata led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Oita Trinita and 2.00 for Montedio Yamagata.

What was the final score of Oita Trinita vs Montedio Yamagata?

Oita Trinita 0-3 Montedio Yamagata in the Japan - J2 League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oita Trinita vs Montedio Yamagata?

Before kick-off our model rated an Montedio Yamagata win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Oita Trinita 29%, draw 29%, Montedio Yamagata 42%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montedio Yamagata), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Montedio Yamagata) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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