Tokushima Vortis 1-2 Renofa Yamaguchi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 20 Mar 2024

📅20/03/2024 · 🕒09:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.64
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.44
6+ Goals
8%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.2pp
24%
Draw
30%
-5.6pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+2.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokushima Vortis EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -7%
0.94/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.60
-23% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokushima Vortis
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
422 Passes 394
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.08.2023 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 2-0 HT 2-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
13.05.2023 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 2-2 HT 0-2 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
27.08.2022 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 2-1 HT 1-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
30.03.2022 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 0-0 HT 0-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
21.10.2020 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 0-3 HT 0-2 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
15.07.2020 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 4-0 HT 2-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokushima Vortis
1-2
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tokushima Vortis vs Renofa Yamaguchi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renofa Yamaguchi squeezed past Tokushima Vortis 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 24% / 39% — and on the day Renofa Yamaguchi made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tokushima Vortis had 47% of the ball to Renofa Yamaguchi's 53%, shots finished 14-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tokushima Vortis had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Tokushima Vortis and 0.50 for Renofa Yamaguchi.

What was the final score of Tokushima Vortis vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Tokushima Vortis 1-2 Renofa Yamaguchi in the Japan - J2 League on 20/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokushima Vortis vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Renofa Yamaguchi win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tokushima Vortis 37%, draw 24%, Renofa Yamaguchi 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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