Tokushima Vortis 2-0 Renofa Yamaguchi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
34%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.44
Over 2.5
40%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
1.95
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
6.16
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-7.4pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.3pp
34%
Away Win
25%
+8.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
66%
-5.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
34%
+5.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.1pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokushima Vortis EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.09/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.30
-22% / +116% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
404 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.2 Crosses 19.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokushima Vortis
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
338 Passes 374
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
9 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.09.2024 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1-2 HT 0-1 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
20.03.2024 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 1-2 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
20.08.2023 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 2-0 HT 2-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
13.05.2023 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 2-2 HT 0-2 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
27.08.2022 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 2-1 HT 1-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
30.03.2022 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 0-0 HT 0-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokushima Vortis
2-0
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 6
424 Passes 360
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
10 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tokushima Vortis vs Renofa Yamaguchi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokushima Vortis beat Renofa Yamaguchi 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Tokushima Vortis made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Tokushima Vortis had 53% of the ball to Renofa Yamaguchi's 47%, shots finished 12-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tokushima Vortis had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tokushima Vortis and 1.00 for Renofa Yamaguchi.

What was the final score of Tokushima Vortis vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Tokushima Vortis 2-0 Renofa Yamaguchi in the Japan - J2 League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokushima Vortis vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokushima Vortis win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Tokushima Vortis 37%, draw 29%, Renofa Yamaguchi 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokushima Vortis), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tokushima Vortis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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