Imabari 0-1 JEF United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
2.94
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.66
6+ Goals
10%
15.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 29% vs market 27.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.7pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.2pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Imabari EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY JEF United EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -20%
1.35/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.08
+14% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
306 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
26.1 Crosses 20.2
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Imabari
0-1
AWAY JEF United
44% Ball Possession 56%
22 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
251 Passes 339
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Crosses 30
POST-MATCH Imabari vs JEF United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JEF United squeezed past Imabari 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; JEF United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Imabari had 44% of the ball to JEF United's 56%, shots finished 22-8.

What was the final score of Imabari vs JEF United?

Imabari 0-1 JEF United in the Japan - J2 League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Imabari vs JEF United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Imabari win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Imabari 40%, draw 23%, JEF United 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Imabari) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Imabari) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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