Iwaki 1-1 Consadole Sapporo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 11 May 2025

Iwaki
1-1 HT 0-1
Consadole Sapporo
📅11/05/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Japan - J2 League – 2025

Iwaki vs Consadole Sapporo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.46
6+ Goals
11%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 30% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+3.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
33%
Away Win
38%
-5.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.5pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Iwaki v Consadole Sapporo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Iwaki EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 42%
-12% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.05/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.44
-12% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
18.9 Crosses 14.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3

Iwaki 1-1 Consadole Sapporo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Iwaki
1-1
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
182 Passes 279
65% Pass Accuracy 72%
32 Crosses 26
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Iwaki vs Consadole Sapporo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Iwaki and Consadole Sapporo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Iwaki had 43% of the ball to Consadole Sapporo's 57%, shots finished 8-10.

What was the final score of Iwaki vs Consadole Sapporo?

Iwaki 1-1 Consadole Sapporo in the Japan - J2 League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Iwaki vs Consadole Sapporo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Iwaki win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Iwaki 39%, draw 28%, Consadole Sapporo 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Iwaki) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Iwaki) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP2 More Japan - J2 League
11 May 2025
00:00 Mito HollyHock vs Blaublitz Akita Analysis →
07:00 Jubilo Iwata vs Fujieda MYFC Analysis →
08:00 V-Varen Nagasaki vs Montedio Yamagata Analysis →
08:00 Sagan Tosu vs Ventforet Kofu Analysis →
08:00 Tokushima Vortis vs Renofa Yamaguchi Analysis →
08:00 Imabari vs JEF United Analysis →