Atletico Bucaramanga 3-2 Boyaca Chico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 11 Jun 2025

📅11/06/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.53
No
61%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-12.4pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.9pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
36%
+3.8pp
61%
BTTS No
64%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Boyaca Chico EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -15%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
403 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Boyaca Chico
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.06 xG 0.94
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
282 Passes 269
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.01.2025 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
20.04.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 2-3 HT 1-1 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
17.10.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 HT 0-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
01.05.2023 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
20.01.2021 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 2-0 HT 1-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
03.11.2020 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
POST-MATCH Atletico Bucaramanga vs Boyaca Chico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Bucaramanga nicked a narrow win over Boyaca Chico 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico Bucaramanga as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boyaca Chico led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Atletico Bucaramanga and 0.83 for Boyaca Chico.

What was the final score of Atletico Bucaramanga vs Boyaca Chico?

Atletico Bucaramanga 3-2 Boyaca Chico in the Colombia - Cup on 11/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Bucaramanga vs Boyaca Chico?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Bucaramanga win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Atletico Bucaramanga 51%, draw 29%, Boyaca Chico 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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