Alta 3-1 Sarasota Paradise — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 11 Jun 2026

📅11/06/2026 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.61
No
41%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.6pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alta EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarasota Paradise EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -41% / -41%
1.30/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.26
-12% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -25%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
410 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 74%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
14.5 Crosses 10.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alta
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sarasota Paradise
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.69 xG 1.10
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
404 Passes 296
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 25
3 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2026 Sarasota Paradise Sarasota Paradise 1-2 HT 0-1 Alta Alta USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alta
3-1
AWAY Sarasota Paradise
1.94 xG 1.27
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 6
529 Passes 262
17 Box Touches 33
3 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alta vs Sarasota Paradise
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alta saw off Sarasota Paradise 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alta as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 1.94 to 1.27.

What was the final score of Alta vs Sarasota Paradise?

Alta 3-1 Sarasota Paradise in the USA - USL League 1 on 11/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alta vs Sarasota Paradise?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alta win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Alta 42%, draw 27%, Sarasota Paradise 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alta), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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