Charlotte Independence 2-0 Union Omaha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 11 Jun 2026

📅11/06/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.49
No
41%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.8pp
41%
BTTS No
37%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte Independence EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.76/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.22
+14% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +36%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
19.3 Crosses 19.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlotte Independence
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Union Omaha
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.11 xG 2.02
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
302 Passes 390
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.08.2025 Union Omaha Union Omaha 4-1 HT 2-0 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
13.07.2025 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 1-2 HT 0-1 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
18.05.2024 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 1-4 HT 1-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
20.04.2024 Union Omaha Union Omaha 0-0 HT 0-0 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
29.10.2023 Union Omaha Union Omaha 0-0 HT 0-0 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
05.10.2023 Union Omaha Union Omaha 4-1 HT 1-1 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlotte Independence
2-0
AWAY Union Omaha
2.64 xG 2.22
21 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
234 Passes 391
33 Box Touches 31
7 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Charlotte Independence vs Union Omaha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte Independence got the better of Union Omaha 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Charlotte Independence as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 21-16, expected goals 2.64 to 2.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Omaha led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Charlotte Independence and 2.33 for Union Omaha.

What was the final score of Charlotte Independence vs Union Omaha?

Charlotte Independence 2-0 Union Omaha in the USA - USL League 1 on 11/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte Independence vs Union Omaha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte Independence win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Charlotte Independence 46%, draw 23%, Union Omaha 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlotte Independence) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Charlotte Independence) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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