Charlotte Independence 1-2 Union Omaha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 13 Jul 2025

Charlotte Independence
1-2 HT 0-1
Union Omaha
📅13/07/2025 · 🕒04:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
USA - USL League 1 – 2025

Charlotte Independence vs Union Omaha Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
11%
1/X
13%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.7pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.8pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Charlotte Independence v Union Omaha — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte Independence EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 40%
+22% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -8%
1.43/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.99
+23% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 81%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
16.6 Crosses 20.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6

Charlotte Independence vs Union Omaha Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlotte Independence
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Union Omaha
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.74 xG 2.11
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 9
281 Passes 430
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 34
15 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.05.2024 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 1-4 HT 1-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
20.04.2024 Union Omaha Union Omaha 0-0 HT 0-0 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
29.10.2023 Union Omaha Union Omaha 0-0 HT 0-0 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
05.10.2023 Union Omaha Union Omaha 4-1 HT 1-1 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
04.06.2023 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 3-0 HT 1-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
20.04.2023 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1

Charlotte Independence 1-2 Union Omaha — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlotte Independence
1-2
AWAY Union Omaha
2.55 xG 1.64
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
360 Passes 413
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
25 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Charlotte Independence vs Union Omaha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Omaha nicked a narrow win over Charlotte Independence 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Union Omaha found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Charlotte Independence had 48% of the ball to Union Omaha's 52%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 2.55 to 1.64 — on chances, Charlotte Independence could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Omaha led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Charlotte Independence and 1.33 for Union Omaha.

What was the final score of Charlotte Independence vs Union Omaha?

Charlotte Independence 1-2 Union Omaha in the USA - USL League 1 on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte Independence vs Union Omaha?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Charlotte Independence 34%, draw 30%, Union Omaha 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Omaha), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Omaha) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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