Union Omaha vs Charlotte Independence Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Union Omaha v Charlotte Independence — Team-Based Signals
Union Omaha vs Charlotte Independence Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-4
HT 1-0
Union Omaha
USL1
0-0
HT 0-0
Charlotte Independence
USL1
4-1
HT 1-1
Charlotte Independence
USL1
3-0
HT 1-0
Union Omaha
USL1
Union Omaha 4-1 Charlotte Independence — Actual Match Statistics
Union Omaha swept aside Charlotte Independence 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Union Omaha as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (62%) came in.
On the day, Union Omaha had 43% of the ball to Charlotte Independence's 57%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 2.10 to 1.21.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Omaha had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Union Omaha and 1.00 for Charlotte Independence.
What was the final score of Union Omaha vs Charlotte Independence?
Union Omaha 4-1 Charlotte Independence in the USA - USL League 1 on 21/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Union Omaha vs Charlotte Independence?
Before kick-off our model rated a Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Union Omaha 46%, draw 27%, Charlotte Independence 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Omaha), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.