One Knoxville 2-0 Richmond Kickers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 21 Aug 2025

📅21/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
55%
-5.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Richmond Kickers EU Bookmakers 24%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +12%
2.03/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.44
+3% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
369 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
19.4 Crosses 15.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME One Knoxville
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Richmond Kickers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.44 xG 1.39
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
331 Passes 270
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
02.06.2024 One Knoxville One Knoxville 1-2 HT 0-2 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
04.05.2024 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 1-1 HT 0-1 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
07.10.2023 One Knoxville One Knoxville 2-2 HT 2-1 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
25.06.2023 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 2-2 HT 1-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
POST-MATCH One Knoxville vs Richmond Kickers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

One Knoxville got the better of Richmond Kickers 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had One Knoxville as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Richmond Kickers led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for One Knoxville and 1.75 for Richmond Kickers.

What was the final score of One Knoxville vs Richmond Kickers?

One Knoxville 2-0 Richmond Kickers in the USA - USL League 1 on 21/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for One Knoxville vs Richmond Kickers?

Before kick-off our model rated a One Knoxville win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split One Knoxville 49%, draw 25%, Richmond Kickers 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (One Knoxville), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (One Knoxville) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USL1 More USA - USL League 1
21 Aug 2025
03:00 Texoma vs Alta Analysis →
03:00 Union Omaha vs Charlotte Independence Analysis →