Texoma 3-3 Alta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 21 Aug 2025

Texoma
3-3 HT 2-0
Alta
📅21/08/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
46%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.68
No
41%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
13%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-4.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
46%
Away Win
41%
+5.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.1pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Texoma EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Alta EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
296 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Texoma
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Alta
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.48 xG 0.71
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
183 Passes 426
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
3 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 1
11.05.2025 Alta Alta 0-0 HT 0-0 Texoma USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Texoma
3-3
AWAY Alta
0.81 xG 2.17
28% Ball Possession 72%
9 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 4
156 Passes 481
72% Pass Accuracy 88%
8 Box Touches 20
6 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Texoma vs Alta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Texoma and Alta couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Alta at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Texoma had 28% of the ball to Alta's 72%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.81 to 2.17.

What was the final score of Texoma vs Alta?

Texoma 3-3 Alta in the USA - USL League 1 on 21/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Texoma vs Alta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alta win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Texoma 29%, draw 25%, Alta 46%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alta) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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