Botev Plovdiv vs Maribor Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Botev Plovdiv v Maribor — Team-Based Signals
Botev Plovdiv 2-1 Maribor — Actual Match Statistics
Botev Plovdiv edged past Maribor 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Botev Plovdiv as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Botev Plovdiv had 51% of the ball to Maribor's 49%, shots finished 8-9.
What was the final score of Botev Plovdiv vs Maribor?
Botev Plovdiv 2-1 Maribor in the UEFA Europa League on 11/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Botev Plovdiv vs Maribor?
Before kick-off our model rated a Botev Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Botev Plovdiv 43%, draw 27%, Maribor 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.