Chester 0-3 Stoke City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 11 Jul 2024

📅11/07/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
9.57
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
64%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.63
Over 2.5
52%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.96
No
64%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
23%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
7%
+10.3pp
18%
Draw
14%
+4.3pp
64%
Away Win
79%
-14.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
34%
+13.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
66%
-13.3pp
36%
BTTS Yes
47%
-10.5pp
64%
BTTS No
53%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chester EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Stoke City EU Bookmakers 84%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.77/2.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
+64% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +6%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
267 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 449 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chester
0-3
AWAY Stoke City
27% Ball Possession 73%
1 Total Shots 19
0 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 12
POST-MATCH Chester vs Stoke City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stoke City ran out comfortable winners over Chester 3-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Stoke City as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, Chester had 27% of the ball to Stoke City's 73%, shots finished 1-19.

What was the final score of Chester vs Stoke City?

Chester 0-3 Stoke City in the Friendlies on 11/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chester vs Stoke City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stoke City win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Chester 18%, draw 18%, Stoke City 64%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stoke City), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stoke City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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